Friday, October 15, 2004

The worst economy since Hoover

WE WILL FACT CHECK JOHN KERRY'S ASS.
Well, not really, but I did want to point out some numbers about the horrific economy that Bush's reckless tax cuts have caused:

You'd think that a high-performance economy, producing above-average growth and below-average inflation, would be a re-election ace. After all, during the 10 recovery quarters since the end of the 2001 recession, real GDP--the most comprehensive measure of the economy -- has averaged 3.4% growth, in line with the average post-World War II expansion rate. Since the supply-side tax cuts were passed in Spring 2003, real economic growth has jumped to 4.8%, putting it at the head of the class of the past 20years. ...


In his own defense, Mr. Bush should highlight the household survey (thenumber of people actually working), which shows that 1.69 million more are employed today than when he took office. An additional 3.4 million have gone to work since the end of the recession, with 140 million Americans currently employed -- a new record. With all these new job entrants, the unemployment rate has dropped to 5.4%. This is no Hoover economy. But to make this point, Mr. Bush must use numbers on GDP and household employment.


This comes from economist Larry Kudlow. Here's the link, but you gotta subscribe to get it. And because this is a fair and balanced blog, I feel compelled to tell you that The Economist disagrees:

In an informal poll of 100 academics, conducted by The Economist, Mr Bush's policies win low marks. More than 70% of the 56 professors who responded to our survey rate Mr Bush's first-term economic policies as bad or very bad. Fewer than 20% give positive marks to Mr Bush's second-term economic agenda, and almost six out of ten disapproved. Mr Kerry hardly got rave reviews either, but his economic plan still fared better than the president's did. In all, four out of ten professors rated Mr Kerry's economic plan as good or very good, but 27% gave it negative scores. (The complete numbers are available at www.economist.com/economistspoll.)


Are our economists partisans? We chose their names, at random, from among the referees of the American Economic Review, one of the profession's more prestigious publications.


Well, that really only makes sense if the entire American Economic Review was evenly split in terms of partisanship in the first place. Which it isn't:
Though most of our professors claim they are not interested in working in Washington, 80% of those who would accept a policy job would prefer to work for Mr Kerry.

So, y'know, grains of salt and all that.

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